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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 52.75%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 23.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (8.73%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cambridge United | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
23.89% ( -0.26) | 23.36% ( -0.03) | 52.75% ( 0.3) |
Both teams to score 55.88% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.22% ( -0.13) | 44.79% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.86% ( -0.13) | 67.15% ( 0.14) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.3% ( -0.3) | 32.71% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.75% ( -0.34) | 69.26% ( 0.34) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.04% ( 0.06) | 16.96% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.95% ( 0.1) | 47.06% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Cambridge United | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
1-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 23.89% | 1-1 @ 11% 0-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.36% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.76% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.73% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 5.77% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.16% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.29% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 52.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |