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League One | Gameweek 40
Mar 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Portman Road
Plymouth Argyle

Ipswich
1 - 0
Plymouth

Morsy (37')
Morsy (28'), Burns (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Crichlow (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Ipswich Town and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 4-0 Charlton
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Ipswich Town 1-1 Plymouth Argyle

An intriguing contest between two in-form teams is set to take place at Portman Road, though there is more pressure on Ipswich to claim maximum points considering their position outside of the playoffs. Although Plymouth came out on top in the reverse fixture, there is little to separate these two sides this time around and we feel that an entertaining score draw could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 51.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 23.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ipswich Town in this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
51.04%25.52%23.44%
Both teams to score 48.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.96%54.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.53%75.47%
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8%21.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.92%54.08%
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.79%38.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.03%74.97%
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 51.03%
    Plymouth Argyle 23.44%
    Draw 25.51%
Ipswich TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 12.56%
2-0 @ 9.75%
2-1 @ 9.38%
3-0 @ 5.04%
3-1 @ 4.85%
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-0 @ 1.95%
4-1 @ 1.88%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 51.03%
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 8.1%
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 7.79%
1-2 @ 5.82%
0-2 @ 3.75%
1-3 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.45%
0-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 23.44%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Plymouth

Ipswich Town
36.2%
Draw
24.1%
Plymouth Argyle
39.7%
58
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Plymouth
2-1
Ipswich
Jephcott (44'), Grant (50')
Garrick (75')
Edmundson (14')
Edmundson (22'), Chaplin (26'), Morsy (56'), Nsiala (75')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Plymouth
1-2
Ipswich
Jephcott (14')
Mayor (52'), Nouble (71'), Watts (79')
Mayor (71')
Nolan (73'), Jackson (74')
McGavin (50'), Cornell (90+2')
Oct 24, 2009 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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