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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.5%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bristol City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bristol City.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Bristol City |
30.26% ( -0.88) | 27.23% ( 0.02) | 42.5% ( 0.86) |
Both teams to score 48.83% ( -0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.62% ( -0.37) | 56.37% ( 0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.61% ( -0.3) | 77.39% ( 0.3) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.19% ( -0.83) | 33.81% ( 0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.52% ( -0.91) | 70.47% ( 0.92) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.78% ( 0.29) | 26.22% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.67% ( 0.38) | 61.32% ( -0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Rotherham United | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.36% Total : 30.26% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.22% | 0-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 8.61% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.14% Total : 42.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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