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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
New York Stadium
Leicester logo

Rotherham
1 - 2
Leicester

Onyedinma (53')
Rathbone (87'), C (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McAteer (12', 84')
Mavididi (89'), Hermansen (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Rotherham United 0-2 Leicester City

While Rotherham will be desperate for a first league win of the campaign and are often difficult to beat, we see Leicester having too much quality for the Millers at the weekend and expect them to pick up another win to continue their perfect record at the start of the Championship season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawLeicester City
27.23% (0.061 0.06) 25.07% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 47.7% (-0.113 -0.11)
Both teams to score 53.58% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.65% (-0.16999999999999 -0.17)49.35% (0.166 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.6% (-0.154 -0.15)71.4% (0.151 0.15)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.57% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)32.43% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.05% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)68.94% (0.045999999999992 0.05)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.28% (-0.116 -0.12)20.71% (0.115 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.67% (-0.184 -0.18)53.33% (0.181 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 27.23%
    Leicester City 47.7%
    Draw 25.07%
Rotherham UnitedDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 7.57% (0.043 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.71% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.26% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.52%
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 27.23%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.72% (0.045 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 10.57% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.32% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 4.92% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.37% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.77% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.72% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 47.7%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Leicester

Rotherham United
10.8%
Draw
10.8%
Leicester City
78.4%
37
Head to Head
Jul 27, 2019 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Rotherham
2-2
Leicester
Morris (38'), Ihiekwe (81')
Iheanacho (11', 69')
Jul 29, 2015 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Rotherham
1-2
Leicester
Ward (82')
Mahrez (58'), Nugent (74')
Aug 5, 2014 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Rotherham
1-3
Leicester
Agard (59')
Ulloa (29', 39'), Drinkwater (64')
Dec 26, 2004 3pm
Sep 11, 2004 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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