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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Leicester City | Draw | Cardiff City |
46.46% ( -1.62) | 25.59% ( -0.11) | 27.95% ( 1.73) |
Both teams to score 52.48% ( 1.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.97% ( 1.53) | 51.03% ( -1.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.1% ( 1.33) | 72.89% ( -1.33) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.04% ( -0.08) | 21.95% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.76% ( -0.13) | 55.24% ( 0.13) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.25% ( 2.19) | 32.75% ( -2.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.69% ( 2.38) | 69.31% ( -2.38) |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 10.9% ( -0.71) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.57) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.29% Total : 46.46% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.28) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.19) Other @ 2.54% Total : 27.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 58 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 56 |
3 | Sunderland | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 54 |
4 | Burnley | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 53 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 42 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 41 |
9 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 38 |
10 | Bristol City | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
11 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 36 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 35 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 34 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Millwall | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 31 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 28 |
20 | Derby CountyDerby | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 27 |
21 | Hull City | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 26 |
22 | Portsmouth | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 21 |
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