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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Leicester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leicester City.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Leicester City |
28.64% ( 0) | 24.97% | 46.39% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 54.94% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.96% ( -0) | 48.04% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.79% ( -0) | 70.21% ( -0) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.32% ( 0) | 30.68% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.07% | 66.93% ( -0) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.25% ( -0) | 20.75% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.62% ( -0) | 53.38% |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Leicester City |
1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.99% 2-0 @ 4.44% 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.16% 3-0 @ 1.75% Other @ 3.02% Total : 28.64% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 6.37% 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 10.01% 1-2 @ 9.3% 0-2 @ 7.87% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.88% 0-3 @ 4.13% 2-3 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 1.92% 0-4 @ 1.62% 2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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