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Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Cardiff
2 - 2
Plymouth

Butcher (31' og.), Grant (47')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Whittaker (17', 66')
Gibson (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-2 Cardiff
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 3-3 Birmingham
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Plymouth Argyle

Possessing an encouraging unbeaten run, Plymouth will fancy their chances of causing the upset at the Cardiff City Stadium. However, the Welsh giants have enough about them to stay in the playoff race if they win games such as this one, and we feel a late goal could prove decisive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
52.84% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03) 24.13% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 23.02% (0.041 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.36% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.05% (0.065000000000005 0.07)48.95% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.96% (0.058 0.06)71.04% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.52% (0.012999999999991 0.01)18.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.32% (0.021000000000001 0.02)49.68% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.23% (0.072999999999993 0.07)35.77% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.46% (0.074999999999999 0.07)72.54% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 52.84%
    Plymouth Argyle 23.02%
    Draw 24.13%
Cardiff CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 11.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 9.42% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 5.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 52.84%
1-1 @ 11.47%
0-0 @ 6.61% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.13%
0-1 @ 6.79% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.49% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.02% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 23.02%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Plymouth

Cardiff City
62.5%
Draw
12.5%
Plymouth Argyle
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2017 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Plymouth
0-1
Cardiff
Zohore (49')
Dec 26, 2009 3pm
Cardiff
0-1
Plymouth

Bothroyd (33')
Sawyer (84')
Johnson (18'), Fallon (29'), Larrieu (49'), Fletcher (67')
Aug 18, 2009 3pm
Plymouth
1-3
Cardiff
Gow (90' pen.)
Sawyer (24')
Chopra (4', 80', 85')
Capaldi (28'), Matthews (36')
Capaldi (90')
Dec 28, 2008 3pm
Nov 22, 2008 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley27141123192253
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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