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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Birmingham logo

Cardiff
0 - 1
Birmingham


Meite (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bacuna (45+3')
Sunjic (42'), Dembele (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 2-0 Birmingham
Friday, December 8 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Birmingham City

Cardiff have not been at their best in recent weeks but will be confident of recording back-to-back wins as Birmingham visit South Wales on Wednesday. Blues have lost their last eight away matches and have shown little signs of improvement since Rooney took charge, meaning it is hard to predict anything other than a Bluebirds victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawBirmingham City
49.92% (0.35 0.35) 25.5% (0.165 0.17) 24.58% (-0.516 -0.52)
Both teams to score 49.93% (-0.994 -0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47% (-1.056 -1.06)53% (1.055 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.41% (-0.906 -0.91)74.59% (0.90600000000001 0.91)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.75% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)21.25% (0.28 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.84% (-0.435 -0.44)54.16% (0.434 0.43)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.41% (-1.032 -1.03)36.59% (1.031 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.62% (-1.049 -1.05)73.37% (1.047 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 49.92%
    Birmingham City 24.58%
    Draw 25.49%
Cardiff CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 12.04% (0.4 0.4)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.33% (0.228 0.23)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.82% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 49.92%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.77% (0.318 0.32)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 7.82% (0.107 0.11)
1-2 @ 6.09% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 24.58%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Birmingham

Cardiff City
76.2%
Draw
11.9%
Birmingham City
11.9%
42
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Birmingham
1-3
Cardiff
Hogan (70')
Oakley (35'), Cosgrove (76')
Jutkiewicz (56')
Colwill (3'), Wintle (68'), Etete (90+4')
Rinomhota (23'), Etete (50'), Romeo (90+3')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Birmingham
0-2
Cardiff
Ng (84'), Robinson (90+5')
Aug 13, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Cardiff
1-0
Birmingham
Philogene-Bidace (17')
Ojo (90+1')

Hogan (51'), James (70'), Trusty (90'), Colin (90+6')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Cardiff
1-1
Birmingham
Vaulks (82' pen.)
McGuinness (48'), Drameh (57'), Nelson (67'), Vaulks (76')
Bela (22')
Gordon (58'), Etheridge (82')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Birmingham
2-2
Cardiff
Deeney (29'), Sunjic (45+1')
Sunjic (63'), Friend (85')
Moore (66'), McGuinness (90+1')
Nelson (16'), Ralls (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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