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Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Birmingham
0 - 2
Cardiff


Mejbri (55'), Bielik (59'), Dean (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ng (84'), Robinson (90+5')
Etete (59'), Allsop (90+5'), Robinson (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Cardiff City

Birmingham are coming into this clash after the high of derby day success over West Brom on Friday night, a feeling that has not tended to suit Eustace's side this season in the following matches. Cardiff were outclassed by Middlesbrough on Saturday and will be looking for a solid away performance at St Andrew's, one which could at least earn them a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 45.31%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 27.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawCardiff City
45.31% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01) 27.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 27.32% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 46.82% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.85% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)58.15% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.19% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)78.81% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)25.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)60.48% (0.012 0.01)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.93% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)37.07% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)73.85% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 45.31%
    Cardiff City 27.32%
    Draw 27.37%
Birmingham CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 12.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.81%
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 45.31%
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 9.49% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.37%
0-1 @ 9.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.37% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.55%
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 27.32%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Cardiff

Birmingham City
75.5%
Draw
16.0%
Cardiff City
8.5%
106
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 12.30pm
Cardiff
1-0
Birmingham
Philogene-Bidace (17')
Ojo (90+1')

Hogan (51'), James (70'), Trusty (90'), Colin (90+6')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Cardiff
1-1
Birmingham
Vaulks (82' pen.)
McGuinness (48'), Drameh (57'), Nelson (67'), Vaulks (76')
Bela (22')
Gordon (58'), Etheridge (82')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
2-2
Cardiff
Deeney (29'), Sunjic (45+1')
Sunjic (63'), Friend (85')
Moore (66'), McGuinness (90+1')
Nelson (16'), Ralls (72')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
0-4
Cardiff

Dean (84')
Wilson (9', 40', 86'), Harris (68')
Pack (61')
Dec 16, 2020 7pm
Cardiff
3-2
Birmingham
Glatzel (10'), Wilson (78'), Morrison (89')
Bacuna (28'), Ojo (43')
Roberts (31'), Sanchez (57')
Toral (21'), Colin (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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