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Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Sheffield Wednesday logo

Birmingham
2 - 1
Sheff Weds

Bacuna (45+3'), James (81')
Dembele (15')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Byers (45')
Windass (32'), Wilks (37'), Bannan (39'), Musaba (61'), Gassama (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 3-1 Birmingham
Saturday, November 11 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-4 Millwall
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday

The international break came at the right time for each of these two clubs and there could be more quality on show than there was before it. Nevertheless, it is difficult to see either of these teams prevailing, leading us to predict a competitive draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawSheffield Wednesday
39.91% (0.041000000000004 0.04) 26.92% (-0.012 -0.01) 33.16% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.76% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.62% (0.049999999999997 0.05)54.38% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.24% (0.041999999999998 0.04)75.75% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.31% (0.045000000000002 0.05)26.69% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06% (0.061999999999998 0.06)61.94% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.24% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)30.75% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)67.02% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 39.91%
    Sheffield Wednesday 33.16%
    Draw 26.92%
Birmingham CityDrawSheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 10.84%
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.16% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.72% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 39.91%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.21% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.92%
0-1 @ 9.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.24% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 33.16%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Sheff Weds

Birmingham City
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Sheffield Wednesday
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 31
Sheff Weds
0-1
Birmingham

Shaw (44')
Shaw (50')
Hogan (63')
Clarke-Salter (22'), Etheridge (53')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 5
Birmingham
0-1
Sheff Weds

Gardner (66')
Bannan (49' pen.)
Kachunga (74')
Feb 22, 2020 3pm
Nov 27, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Sheff Weds
1-1
Birmingham
Harris (81')
Borner (12')
Gimenez (48')
Alvaro (66'), Roberts (78'), Colin (84')
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Sheff Weds
1-1
Birmingham
Fletcher (18')
Fox (87')
Adams (48')
Morrison (60'), Jota (71'), Gardner (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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