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Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 6, 2023 at 8pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
West Brom logo

Birmingham
3 - 1
West Brom

Bacuna (23' pen.), Sanderson (38'), Gardner (87')
Bielik (25'), Longelo (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Swift (5')
Kipre (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 4-1 Huddersfield
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Sheff Weds
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 West Bromwich Albion

Although Birmingham have been far more inconsistent than West Brom of late, the manner of their victory on Tuesday even things up. With that in mind, we can only predict a competitive draw between two sides who back themselves to challenge for the playoffs in the long term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
31.93% (1.676 1.68) 27.66% (0.554 0.55) 40.41% (-2.223 -2.22)
Both teams to score 48.21% (-0.992 -0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.54% (-1.553 -1.55)57.46% (1.563 1.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.74% (-1.248 -1.25)78.26% (1.255 1.26)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.83% (0.398 0.4)33.17% (-0.39 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.22% (0.434 0.43)69.78% (-0.428 -0.43)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.14% (-1.92 -1.92)27.86% (1.928 1.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.54% (-2.524 -2.52)63.47% (2.532 2.53)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 31.92%
    West Bromwich Albion 40.41%
    Draw 27.65%
Birmingham CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 10.19% (0.687 0.69)
2-1 @ 7.19% (0.189 0.19)
2-0 @ 5.63% (0.439 0.44)
3-1 @ 2.65% (0.098 0.1)
3-0 @ 2.07% (0.181 0.18)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 31.92%
1-1 @ 13.03% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 9.24% (0.537 0.54)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.65%
0-1 @ 11.81% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.33% (-0.326 -0.33)
0-2 @ 7.55% (-0.38 -0.38)
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.345 -0.35)
0-3 @ 3.22% (-0.351 -0.35)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.168 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.176 -0.18)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 40.41%

How you voted: Birmingham vs West Brom

Birmingham City
36.1%
Draw
23.6%
West Bromwich Albion
40.3%
72
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 31
Birmingham
2-0
West Brom
Mejbri (10'), Bielik (52')
Sep 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 10
West Brom
2-3
Birmingham
Wallace (23'), Thomas-Asante (83' pen.)
Hogan (14', 54', 72')
Apr 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Birmingham
1-0
West Brom
Taylor (67' pen.)
Taylor (75'), Bacuna (85')

Livermore (75')
Oct 15, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 12
West Brom
1-0
Birmingham
Grant (75')
Clarke (72'), Grant (89')
Jul 31, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Birmingham
0-4
West Brom
Diangana (50'), Clarke (69'), Grant (73' pen.), Tulloch (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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