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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 18, 2023 at 8pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Leicester logo

Birmingham
2 - 3
Leicester

James (14', 74')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Mavididi (10', 50'), Dewsbury-Hall (21')
Mavididi (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 Birmingham
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 3-2 Millwall
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-3 Leicester City

Birmingham were defensively sound on Wednesday night against a woeful Cardiff attack, but dealing with Maresca's Leicester will be a different kettle of fish. The Foxes have a good opportunity to stretch their lead at the top of the division, and we feel that the visitors will do just that at St Andrew's. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 50.67%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawLeicester City
24.87% (-0.75 -0.75) 24.46% (-0.203 -0.2) 50.67% (0.952 0.95)
Both teams to score 53.38% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.39% (0.22900000000001 0.23)48.6% (-0.23 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.28% (0.209 0.21)70.72% (-0.209 -0.21)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.05% (-0.50500000000001 -0.51)33.95% (0.504 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.38% (-0.549 -0.55)70.62% (0.547 0.55)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.81% (0.473 0.47)19.19% (-0.474 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.13% (0.777 0.78)50.87% (-0.778 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 24.87%
    Leicester City 50.67%
    Draw 24.45%
Birmingham CityDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 7.04% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-1 @ 6.28% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 3.8% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.26% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.37% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 24.87%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.51% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.45%
0-1 @ 10.75% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 9.59% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 8.88% (0.179 0.18)
1-3 @ 5.28% (0.112 0.11)
0-3 @ 4.88% (0.169 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.85% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.18% (0.078 0.08)
0-4 @ 2.02% (0.098 0.1)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 50.67%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Leicester

Birmingham City
15.0%
Draw
12.1%
Leicester City
72.9%
107
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2020 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Birmingham
0-2
Leicester
Mar 4, 2020 7.45pm
Aug 1, 2015 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Birmingham
2-3
Leicester
Cotterill (23'), Gray (24')
Huth (59'), Drinkwater (76'), Okazaki (83')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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