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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Birmingham logo

Leeds
3 - 0
Birmingham

Bamford (34'), James (45+1'), Summerville (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Stansfield (20'), Sunjic (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Leeds
Friday, December 29 at 8.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Bristol City
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-0 Birmingham City

Leeds have fallen short of their normal standards in the last two matches, but the arrival of a Birmingham side who struggle on their travels to Elland Road represents a good chance to get back to winning ways. Blues ambled to a clean sheet on Friday night to secure an uninspiring point, but Rooney's men will face a much more potent attacking force in Yorkshire on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 66.46%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 14.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-2 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawBirmingham City
66.46% (0.031999999999996 0.03) 18.82% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 14.71% (-0.016 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.88% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.83% (0.036999999999999 0.04)38.17% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.56% (0.039999999999999 0.04)60.44% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.34% (0.019999999999996 0.02)10.66% (-0.019 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.48% (0.040000000000006 0.04)34.52% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.42% (0.0020000000000024 0)38.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)75.32% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 66.46%
    Birmingham City 14.71%
    Draw 18.82%
Leeds UnitedDrawBirmingham City
2-0 @ 10.3%
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 9.2% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.69% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 7.33% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 4.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.49% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.93% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.84% (0.004 0)
Other @ 4.52%
Total : 66.46%
1-1 @ 8.77% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.11% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.82%
1-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 3.92% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.49%
1-3 @ 1.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 14.71%

How you voted: Leeds vs Birmingham

Leeds United
83.3%
Draw
13.9%
Birmingham City
2.8%
36
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Birmingham
1-0
Leeds
Jutkiewicz (90+1' pen.)
Ruddy (90+3')

Ampadu (22'), Byram (45+1')
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 25
Birmingham
4-5
Leeds
Bellingham (27'), Jutkiewicz (61', 91'), Bela (83')
Gardner (39'), Harding (48'), Mrabti (62'), Jutkiewicz (63'), Montero (92')
Costa (15'), Harrison (21'), Ayling (69'), Dallas (84'), Harding (94' og.)
Casilla (71'), Nketiah (73'), Ayling (88')
Oct 19, 2019 3pm
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 40
Birmingham
1-0
Leeds
Adams (29')
Dean (48')

Alioski (30'), Jansson (76'), Hernandez (83')
Sep 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 9
Leeds
1-2
Birmingham
Alioski (85')
Saiz (57'), Forshaw (90')
Adams (8', 29')
Gardner (41'), Morrison (67'), Kieftenbeld (79'), Pedersen (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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