Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.