Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Cove Rangers | Draw | Queen of the South |
42.55% ( -0.05) | 25.43% ( 0.09) | 32.02% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 55.2% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.48% ( -0.41) | 48.52% ( 0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.36% ( -0.37) | 70.64% ( 0.38) |
Cove Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.29% ( -0.2) | 22.71% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.63% ( -0.3) | 56.37% ( 0.3) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.42% ( -0.22) | 28.59% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.62% ( -0.28) | 64.38% ( 0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Cove Rangers | Draw | Queen of the South |
1-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.19% Total : 42.55% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |