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Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 8
Oct 4, 2024 at 7pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
Willem II

Almere City
0 - 1
Willem II


Zagaritis (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Abdirahman Ahmed (78')
Tirpan (52'), Lachkar (56'), Boris (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and Willem II, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almere City

All competitions
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-0 Almere City
Sunday, September 29 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Willem II

All competitions
Last Game: Willem II 0-2 PSV
Saturday, September 28 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Almere City 0-2 Willem II

 Willem II's recent defeats can be attributed to a tough run of fixtures in a positive start to the campaign, while their hosts are devoid of any confidence or momentum having failed to get going thus far. With Almere City struggling at both ends of the pitch, we expect another defeat for Hedwiges Maduro's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 59.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for an Almere City win it was 2-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.

Result
Almere CityDrawWillem II
19% (1.387 1.39) 21.42% (0.312 0.31) 59.58% (-1.702 -1.7)
Both teams to score 55.18% (1.604 1.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.71% (0.836 0.84)42.29% (-0.84 -0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.3% (0.832 0.83)64.69% (-0.836 -0.84)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.03% (2.038 2.04)35.96% (-2.042 -2.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.25% (2.025 2.03)72.74% (-2.029 -2.03)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.17% (-0.25 -0.25)13.83% (0.247 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.82% (-0.491 -0.49)41.18% (0.487 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 19%
    Willem II 59.58%
    Draw 21.42%
Almere CityDrawWillem II
2-1 @ 5.14% (0.322 0.32)
1-0 @ 5.09% (0.092 0.09)
2-0 @ 2.6% (0.185 0.19)
3-1 @ 1.75% (0.199 0.2)
3-2 @ 1.74% (0.183 0.18)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 19%
1-1 @ 10.06% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.275 0.28)
0-0 @ 4.97% (-0.189 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.42%
1-2 @ 9.95% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 9.84% (-0.462 -0.46)
0-2 @ 9.73% (-0.546 -0.55)
1-3 @ 6.57% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-3 @ 6.42% (-0.427 -0.43)
2-3 @ 3.36% (0.153 0.15)
1-4 @ 3.25% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-4 @ 3.18% (-0.242 -0.24)
2-4 @ 1.66% (0.062 0.06)
1-5 @ 1.29% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-5 @ 1.26% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 59.58%

How you voted: Almere City vs Willem II

Almere City
29.0%
Draw
19.4%
Willem II
51.6%
62
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2023 11.15am
Gameweek 20
Almere City
1-0
Willem II
Hilterman (23')
Oct 21, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 12
Willem II
1-1
Almere City
Bokila (66')
Hilterman (22' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237
> Eredivisie Full Table


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