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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result | ||
Groningen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
44.4% ( 0.07) | 24% ( -0.03) | 31.6% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 59.96% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.79% ( 0.13) | 42.21% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.38% ( 0.13) | 64.61% ( -0.13) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.77% ( 0.08) | 19.23% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.06% ( 0.13) | 50.94% ( -0.13) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.24% ( 0.04) | 25.76% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.3% ( 0.05) | 60.7% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Groningen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.73% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.25% Total : 44.4% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.99% | 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 31.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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