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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 57.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 20.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Utrecht in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for FC Utrecht.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Groningen |
57.77% ( -0.17) | 22.09% ( 0.07) | 20.13% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 54.88% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.37% ( -0.18) | 43.63% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.98% ( -0.18) | 66.02% ( 0.18) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.16% ( -0.12) | 14.84% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.85% ( -0.22) | 43.14% ( 0.22) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.44% ( -0) | 35.56% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.67% ( -0) | 72.33% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Groningen |
1-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.61% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 57.77% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.09% | 0-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 20.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |