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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Groningen win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Utrecht in this match.
Result | ||
Groningen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
30.71% ( 0.01) | 22.87% ( 0) | 46.42% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 63.6% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.77% ( -0.01) | 37.23% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.56% ( -0) | 59.43% ( 0.01) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.13% ( 0) | 23.87% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.93% ( 0) | 58.06% ( -0) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.53% ( -0) | 16.46% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.84% ( -0.01) | 46.16% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Groningen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 7.27% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.63% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.03% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.47% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.13% 3-0 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.88% Total : 30.71% | 1-1 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 6.56% 0-0 @ 3.93% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.86% | 1-2 @ 9.16% 0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.39% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.51% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.95% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.85% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.49% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.78% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.73% ( -0) Other @ 4.48% Total : 46.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 62 | 18 | 44 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 40 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 20 |
14 | Heracles | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 18 |
15 | Groningen | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 17 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 8 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |