MX23RW : Saturday, April 5 01:01:02| >> :600:375860:375860:
Ajax
Europa League | League Stage
Dec 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Amsterdam ArenA
Lazio logo

Ajax
1 - 3
Lazio

Traore (47')
Hato (38'), Brobbey (45+1'), Weghorst (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tchaouna (12'), Dele-Bashiru (52'), Pedro (77')
Rovella (45+2'), Pellegrini (46'), Gigot (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ajax and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 2-1 Ajax
Sunday, December 8 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Napoli 0-1 Lazio
Sunday, December 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Ajax 1-2 Lazio

Having already proved that their squad can cope with rotation, Lazio can travel to the Netherlands full of confidence that an unbeaten Europa League run will continue. The Aquile could even fly home with maximum points, leaving a faltering Ajax side in some danger of missing out on a precious top-eight finish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 18.92%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawLazio
57.95% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 23.12%18.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.58% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.32% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)49.68% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.3% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)71.69% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.13% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)16.87% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)46.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.64% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)40.35% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.02% (-0.023 -0.02)76.97% (0.02000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 57.95%
    Lazio 18.92%
    Draw 23.12%
AjaxDrawLazio
1-0 @ 12.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 6.4% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 5.8% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 2.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.01%
5-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 57.95%
1-1 @ 10.99%
0-0 @ 6.81% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 23.12%
0-1 @ 6.18%
1-2 @ 4.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.8% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.51% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 18.92%

How you voted: Ajax vs Lazio

Ajax
Draw
Lazio
Ajax
30.3%
Draw
23.1%
Lazio
46.7%
195
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool30227170274373
2Arsenal301710355253061
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest30176750351557
4Chelsea30157854371752
5Manchester CityMan City30156957401751
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle29155949391050
7Aston Villa3013984445-148
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton30121174845347
9Fulham3012994440445
10Bournemouth301281049381144
11Brentford30125135147441
12Crystal Palace29101093734340
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd30107133741-437
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs301041655441134
15Everton30713103237-534
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham3097143350-1734
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves3085174158-1729
18Ipswich TownIpswich3048183063-3320
19Leicester CityLeicester3045212567-4217
20Southampton3024242271-4910


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!