MX23RW : Sunday, January 19 21:54:11| >> :600:2835122:2835122:
Ajax
Europa League | League Stage
Dec 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Amsterdam ArenA
Lazio logo

Ajax
1 - 3
Lazio

Traore (47')
Hato (38'), Brobbey (45+1'), Weghorst (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tchaouna (12'), Dele-Bashiru (52'), Pedro (77')
Rovella (45+2'), Pellegrini (46'), Gigot (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ajax and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 2-1 Ajax
Sunday, December 8 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Napoli 0-1 Lazio
Sunday, December 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Ajax 1-2 Lazio

Having already proved that their squad can cope with rotation, Lazio can travel to the Netherlands full of confidence that an unbeaten Europa League run will continue. The Aquile could even fly home with maximum points, leaving a faltering Ajax side in some danger of missing out on a precious top-eight finish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 18.92%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawLazio
57.95% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 23.12%18.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.58% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.32% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)49.68% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.3% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)71.69% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.13% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)16.87% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)46.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.64% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)40.35% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.02% (-0.023 -0.02)76.97% (0.02000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 57.95%
    Lazio 18.92%
    Draw 23.12%
AjaxDrawLazio
1-0 @ 12.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 6.4% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 5.8% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 2.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.01%
5-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 57.95%
1-1 @ 10.99%
0-0 @ 6.81% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 23.12%
0-1 @ 6.18%
1-2 @ 4.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.8% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.51% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 18.92%

How you voted: Ajax vs Lazio

Ajax
30.3%
Draw
23.1%
Lazio
46.7%
195
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Washington
45-31
Lions
8pm
Rams
@
Eagles
11.30pm
Ravens
@
Bills
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
6Chelsea21107441261537
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!