MX23RW : Saturday, February 15 14:36:08| >> :600:167291:167291:
Lazio logo
Europa League | League Stage
Oct 3, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Nice

Lazio
4 - 1
Nice

Pedro (20'), Castellanos (35', 53'), Zaccagni (67' pen.)
Zaccagni (59'), Pellegrini (85')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Boga (41')
Louchet (19'), Bombito (51'), Bulka (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Lazio and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 2-3 Lazio
Sunday, September 29 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Lens 0-0 Nice
Saturday, September 28 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lazio 2-1 Nice

Lazio will soar highest in a battle between Les Aiglons and Le Aquile, as they have home advantage and Nice are burdened by injuries. Following Ciro Immobile's departure, the Italian side have refreshed their attacking options for this season and are now scoring at a regular rate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Nice had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawNice
41.5% (-2.107 -2.11) 26.38% (0.401 0.4) 32.12% (1.705 1.71)
Both teams to score 52.15% (-0.553 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.53% (-1.041 -1.04)52.46% (1.041 1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.86% (-0.903 -0.9)74.14% (0.901 0.9)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.03% (-1.514 -1.51)24.97% (1.512 1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.39% (-2.144 -2.14)59.61% (2.145 2.15)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.51% (0.65100000000001 0.65)30.49% (-0.651 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.29% (0.764 0.76)66.71% (-0.765 -0.77)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 41.5%
    Nice 32.12%
    Draw 26.37%
LazioDrawNice
1-0 @ 10.56% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.71% (-0.254 -0.25)
2-0 @ 7.33% (-0.35 -0.35)
3-1 @ 4.03% (-0.304 -0.3)
3-0 @ 3.39% (-0.322 -0.32)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.135 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.4% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.17 -0.17)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 41.5%
1-1 @ 12.54% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 7.61% (0.309 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 9.04% (0.521 0.52)
1-2 @ 7.45% (0.243 0.24)
0-2 @ 5.37% (0.399 0.4)
1-3 @ 2.95% (0.147 0.15)
0-3 @ 2.13% (0.193 0.19)
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 32.12%

How you voted: Lazio vs Nice

Lazio
86.5%
Draw
10.9%
Nice
2.6%
192
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2017 8.05pm
Group Stage
Lazio
1-0
Nice
Le Marchand (93' og.)
Leiva (75')
Oct 19, 2017 6pm
Group Stage
Nice
1-3
Lazio
Balotelli (4')
Mendy (78')
Caicedo (5'), Milinkovic-Savic (65', 89')
Felipe (86')
rhs 2.0
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