MX23RW : Thursday, December 12 17:40:16| >> :60:490:490:
Real Betis logo
Conference League | League Stage
Nov 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Benito Villamarin
Celje

Betis
2 - 1
Celje

Natan (75'), Juanmi (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nieto (81')
Karnicnik (35'), Kucys (49'), Nieto (54'), Stubljar (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Real Betis and Celje, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celje 0-1 Ljubljana
Sunday, November 3 at 2pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

We said: Real Betis 2-0 Celje

Betis have won five of their last seven competitive matches at the Benito Villamarin, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage to clinch all three points, especially as Celje have lost their previous four away games in European competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 53.64%. A win for Celje had a probability of 23.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Celje win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Betis in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Betis.

Result
Real BetisDrawCelje
53.64% (0.148 0.15) 22.83% (-0.044 -0.04) 23.53% (-0.1 -0.1)
Both teams to score 57.23% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.21% (0.101 0.1)42.79% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.81% (0.1 0.1)65.19% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.07% (0.088999999999999 0.09)15.92% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.81% (0.158 0.16)45.18% (-0.154 -0.15)
Celje Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.08% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)31.92% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.62% (-0.035 -0.04)68.37% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Real Betis 53.64%
    Celje 23.53%
    Draw 22.83%
Real BetisDrawCelje
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.34% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.58% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 6% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.26% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.41% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.57% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 53.64%
1-1 @ 10.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.08% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.83%
1-2 @ 6.09% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.81% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 23.53%

How you voted: Betis vs Celje

Real Betis
90.2%
Draw
7.3%
Celje
2.4%
82
rhs 2.0
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