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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 23, 2023 at 12pm UK
The Hawthorns
Sunderland

West Brom
1 - 2
Sunderland

Swift (45+1' pen.)
Molumby (23'), Yokuslu (38'), Swift (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cirkin (51', 84')
Gelhardt (70'), O'Nien (78'), Gooch (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 0-2 West Brom
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-1 Huddersfield
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 2-1 Sunderland

With both sides having found some form of late, we expect this to be a competitive fixture decided by narrow margins. Sunderland deserve respect for the away record that they have put together this season, but we cannot back against West Brom on familiar territory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 50.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 24.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawSunderland
50.76% (0.489 0.49) 25.16% (-0.112 -0.11) 24.08% (-0.375 -0.38)
Both teams to score 50.41% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.88% (0.13 0.13)52.12% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.16% (0.114 0.11)73.84% (-0.114 -0.11)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (0.25700000000001 0.26)20.54% (-0.255 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.95% (0.408 0.41)53.05% (-0.405 -0.41)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.44% (-0.264 -0.26)36.56% (0.26300000000001 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.65% (-0.265 -0.27)73.34% (0.26599999999999 0.27)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 50.75%
    Sunderland 24.08%
    Draw 25.16%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 11.88% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.41% (0.099 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.99% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.96% (0.09 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.98% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.96% (0.051 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 50.75%
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.51% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 7.56% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.02% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.8% (-0.075 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 24.08%

How you voted: West Brom vs Sunderland

West Bromwich Albion
56.0%
Draw
28.0%
Sunderland
16.0%
25
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2022 8pm
gameweek 22
Sunderland
1-2
West Brom
Diallo (19' pen.)
Batth (33')
Rogic (70'), Dike (82')
Jan 21, 2017 3pm
Oct 1, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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