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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Bristol City

Watford
2 - 0
Bristol City

Cornick (6' og.), Pedro (54')
Porteous (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tanner (27'), James (84'), Mehmeti (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 2-2 Watford
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 2-2 Middlesbrough
Monday, April 10 at 5.30pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Bristol City

Both clubs have to go all out for victory in this contest, particularly the visitors. That could lead to greater opportunities for Watford on the counter, who we are backing to edge this fixture with a decisive goal in the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 51.42%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 23.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawBristol City
51.42% (0.075999999999993 0.08) 25.26% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 23.32% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Both teams to score 49.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.85% (0.015999999999998 0.02)53.14% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.28% (0.014000000000003 0.01)74.72% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.32% (0.037999999999997 0.04)20.68% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.73% (0.061 0.06)53.27% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.18% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)37.82% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.41% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)74.59% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Watford 51.41%
    Bristol City 23.32%
    Draw 25.25%
WatfordDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 12.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.71% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.1% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41%
4-0 @ 2.01% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.96% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 51.41%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 7.6% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.83% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.7% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 23.32%

How you voted: Watford vs Bristol City

Watford
75.0%
Draw
0.0%
Bristol City
25.0%
20
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Watford
6-0
Bristol City
Moore (2' og.), Sarr (15', 55'), Hughes (30'), Sema (35'), Zinckernagel (90')
Chalobah (17'), Pedro (81')

Moore (7'), Diedhiou (47'), Palmer (81')
Nov 25, 2020 7.45pm
Jan 6, 2018 3pm
Third Round
Watford
3-0
Bristol City
Carrillo (37'), Deeney (57'), Capoue (85')
Kabasele (30')
Aug 22, 2017 7.45pm
Second Round
Watford
2-3
Bristol City
Capoue (47'), Mariappa (95')
Capoue (35'), Holebas (52')
Holebas (88')
Hinds (59'), Reid (67'), Eliasson (93')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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