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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
KCOM Stadium
Watford logo

Hull City
1 - 0
Watford

Tufan (25' pen.)
Coyle (60'), Ebiowei (79'), Woods (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Louza (72'), Pedro (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Hull City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 3-1 Hull City
Wednesday, April 19 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-3 Cardiff
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Hull City 2-1 Watford

Watford can only be low on confidence after Wednesday's capitulation and we feel that could show in their performance. While Hull have struggled for wins themselves, the Tigers will fancy their chances of outworking the Hornets for the three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 36.55%. A win for Watford had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hull City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hull City.

Result
Hull CityDrawWatford
36.55% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04) 27.3% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 36.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.97% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.44% (-0.107 -0.11)55.55% (0.111 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.27% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)76.73% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.81% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)29.19% (0.081 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.87% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)65.13% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.56% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)29.43% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.57% (-0.052 -0.05)65.43% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Hull City 36.55%
    Watford 36.14%
    Draw 27.29%
Hull CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 10.57% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.97% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.67% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 36.55%
1-1 @ 12.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.59% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.29%
0-1 @ 10.5% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.43% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.23% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 36.14%

How you voted: Hull City vs Watford

Hull City
68.8%
Draw
25.0%
Watford
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2022 3pm
gameweek 22
Watford
0-0
Hull City

Woods (19')
Apr 22, 2017 3pm
Hull City
2-0
Watford
Markovic (62'), Clucas (71')
N'Diaye (42'), Markovic (66'), Robertson (81')
Niasse (25')

Prodl (68')
Oct 29, 2016 3pm
Watford
1-0
Hull City
Dawson (82' og.)
Behrami (53')

Mason (57'), Clucas (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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