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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
KCOM Stadium
Watford logo

Hull City
1 - 0
Watford

Tufan (25' pen.)
Coyle (60'), Ebiowei (79'), Woods (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Louza (72'), Pedro (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Hull City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 3-1 Hull City
Wednesday, April 19 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-3 Cardiff
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Hull City 2-1 Watford

Watford can only be low on confidence after Wednesday's capitulation and we feel that could show in their performance. While Hull have struggled for wins themselves, the Tigers will fancy their chances of outworking the Hornets for the three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 36.55%. A win for Watford had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hull City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hull City.

Result
Hull CityDrawWatford
36.55% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04) 27.3% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 36.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.97% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.44% (-0.107 -0.11)55.55% (0.111 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.27% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)76.73% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.81% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)29.19% (0.081 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.87% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)65.13% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.56% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)29.43% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.57% (-0.052 -0.05)65.43% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Hull City 36.55%
    Watford 36.14%
    Draw 27.29%
Hull CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 10.57% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.97% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.67% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 36.55%
1-1 @ 12.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.59% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.29%
0-1 @ 10.5% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.43% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.23% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 36.14%

How you voted: Hull City vs Watford

Hull City
68.8%
Draw
25.0%
Watford
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2022 3pm
gameweek 22
Watford
0-0
Hull City

Woods (19')
Apr 22, 2017 3pm
Hull City
2-0
Watford
Markovic (62'), Clucas (71')
N'Diaye (42'), Markovic (66'), Robertson (81')
Niasse (25')

Prodl (68')
Oct 29, 2016 3pm
Watford
1-0
Hull City
Dawson (82' og.)
Behrami (53')

Mason (57'), Clucas (58')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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