Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.45%. A win for Watford had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Leeds United |
24.84% ( 0) | 23.71% ( -0) | 51.45% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 55.8% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.62% ( 0) | 45.38% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.28% ( 0) | 67.72% ( -0) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.77% ( 0) | 32.23% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.28% ( 0.01) | 68.72% ( -0.01) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.34% ( -0) | 17.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.72% | 48.28% |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Leeds United |
1-0 @ 6.45% 2-1 @ 6.33% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.65% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.39% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.59% Total : 24.84% | 1-1 @ 11.17% 0-0 @ 5.69% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.7% | 0-1 @ 9.87% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.69% 0-2 @ 8.56% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.6% 0-3 @ 4.94% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.43% 0-4 @ 2.14% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.69% Total : 51.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 42 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
8 | Watford | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 29 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 24 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Portsmouth | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 21 |
> Championship Full Table |