Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Leeds2 - 0Millwall
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-2 Leeds
Friday, March 8 at 8pm in Championship
Friday, March 8 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Birmingham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Leeds United 3-1 Millwall
With Millwall having been the second-best performing side in the Championship over the past four games, they will fancy their chances of success at Elland Road. However, we have to back Leeds' superior quality to shine through, particularly when the stakes are getting higher. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 72.3%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 9.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.95%) and 3-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Millwall |
72.3% ( 0.25) | 17.9% ( 0.17) | 9.8% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 42.36% ( -2.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
