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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Watford win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Millwall has a probability of 30.19% and a draw has a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Millwall win is 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.82%).
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Watford |
30.19% ( 0.06) | 27.11% ( 0.12) | 42.7% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 49.15% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.05% ( -0.43) | 55.94% ( 0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.95% ( -0.35) | 77.04% ( 0.35) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.36% ( -0.17) | 33.64% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.71% ( -0.19) | 70.29% ( 0.19) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.07% ( -0.29) | 25.92% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.07% ( -0.39) | 60.92% ( 0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Millwall | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.4% Total : 30.19% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.1% | 0-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.66% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 7.95% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.21% Total : 42.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
2 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 11 |
3 | Burnley | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 10 |
4 | Watford | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 10 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
6 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
7 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
8 | Derby CountyDerby | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
9 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
12 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 6 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 6 |
14 | Coventry CityCoventry | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 |
15 | Norwich CityNorwich | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5 |
16 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 5 |
17 | Bristol City | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
18 | Millwall | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 4 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 4 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
21 | Preston North EndPreston | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 4 |
22 | Portsmouth | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 |
23 | Hull City | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 11 | -10 | 1 |
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