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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
Leicester logo

Millwall
1 - 0
Leicester

Longman (59')
Honeyman (11'), Saville (83'), Sarkic (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Winks (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-3 Leicester City

After some vital home victories, a solid away performance at The Den would be a massive statement in the Championship promotion race for Leicester. The wind would have been taken out of Millwall's sails after the last-minute defeat at Huddersfield, and the visit of the league leaders is not an ideal opportunity for the Lions to regain their footing in the highly-competitive relegation battle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawLeicester City
32.66% (0.631 0.63) 26.17% (0.329 0.33) 41.17% (-0.959 -0.96)
Both teams to score 53.01% (-0.848 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.55% (-1.194 -1.19)51.45% (1.195 1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.74% (-1.051 -1.05)73.26% (1.052 1.05)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.38% (-0.176 -0.18)29.62% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.34% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)65.66% (0.217 0.22)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.32% (-1.016 -1.02)24.69% (1.016 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.78% (-1.442 -1.44)59.22% (1.442 1.44)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 32.66%
    Leicester City 41.17%
    Draw 26.16%
MillwallDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 8.9% (0.375 0.38)
2-1 @ 7.57% (0.065 0.06)
2-0 @ 5.41% (0.203 0.2)
3-1 @ 3.07% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.2% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 32.66%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 7.31% (0.343 0.34)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 10.23% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 8.71% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-2 @ 7.16% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 4.06% (-0.189 -0.19)
0-3 @ 3.34% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 41.17%

How you voted: Millwall vs Leicester

Millwall
15.0%
Draw
13.0%
Leicester City
72.0%
100
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2024 12.30pm
Third Round
Millwall
2-3
Leicester
Watmore (56'), Flemming (86')
Flemming (69')
Casadei (16'), Pereira (39'), Cannon (61')
Cannon (90+3')
Dec 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Leicester
3-2
Millwall
Vestergaard (48'), Daka (52'), Pereira (78')
Coady (37'), Faes (82')
Bradshaw (10'), Nisbet (90+3')
Harding (13'), Cooper (21'), Wallace (24'), Saville (75')
Sep 22, 2021 7.45pm
Third Round
Millwall
0-2
Leicester
Lookman (50'), Iheanacho (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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