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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
King Power Stadium
Norwich logo

Leicester
3 - 1
Norwich

Dewsbury-Hall (33'), Mavididi (61'), Vardy (90+3')
Vestergaard (65')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sara (20')
Duffy (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 2-1 Plymouth
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leicester City 2-2 Norwich City

Leicester were not without their chances in Friday's excruciating loss to Bristol City - Vardy had simply left his best shooting boots in the locker room - and the Foxes now come up against a Norwich side whose performance on the road has left a lot to be desired all season long. Wagner's men are in a good moment attacking wise, though, and the Canaries evidently have the resources to trouble the out-of-sorts hosts from dead ball situations, so we anticipate a share of the spoils in an entertaining draw between these two Premier League hopefuls. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 63.44%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 16.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 1-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Norwich City win it was 1-2 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawNorwich City
63.44% (-0.52800000000001 -0.53) 19.71% (0.058 0.06) 16.85% (0.47 0.47)
Both teams to score 56.9% (0.865 0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.01% (0.63 0.63)37.98% (-0.631 -0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.75% (0.66999999999999 0.67)60.25% (-0.67 -0.67)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.61% (0.045999999999992 0.05)11.39% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.86% (0.1 0.1)36.13% (-0.1 -0.1)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.22% (0.945 0.95)35.78% (-0.945 -0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.44% (0.96 0.96)72.55% (-0.959 -0.96)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 63.44%
    Norwich City 16.85%
    Draw 19.71%
Leicester CityDrawNorwich City
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.62% (-0.257 -0.26)
1-0 @ 8.85% (-0.253 -0.25)
3-1 @ 7.16% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.96% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-1 @ 3.89% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.78% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.68% (0.097 0.1)
4-2 @ 2% (0.057 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.69% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.64% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 63.44%
1-1 @ 9.1% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.125 0.13)
0-0 @ 4.08% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 19.71%
1-2 @ 4.68% (0.107 0.11)
0-1 @ 4.19% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.15% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.086 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 16.85%

How you voted: Leicester vs Norwich

Leicester City
54.4%
Draw
22.3%
Norwich City
23.3%
103
Head to Head
Sep 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 7
Norwich
0-2
Leicester

Duffy (39'), Gibson (42'), Barnes (43')
Iheanacho (45' pen.), McAteer (87')
McAteer (35'), Vardy (70'), Winks (71'), Vestergaard (90')
May 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Leicester
3-0
Norwich
Vardy (54', 62'), Maddison (70')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 3
Norwich
1-2
Leicester
Pukki (44' pen.)
Lees-Melou (25'), Cantwell (82')
Vardy (8'), Albrighton (76')
Albrighton (69')
Feb 28, 2020 8pm
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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