Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | West Ham United | 38 | 9 | 56 |
8 | Leicester City | 38 | 3 | 52 |
9 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 38 | -2 | 51 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Burnley | 38 | -19 | 35 |
19 | Watford | 38 | -43 | 23 |
20 | Norwich City | 38 | -61 | 22 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 66.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 13.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.81%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Leicester City | Draw | Norwich City |
66.05% ( -3.51) | 20.6% ( 1.6) | 13.35% ( 1.91) |
Both teams to score 45.28% ( 0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.96% ( -2.25) | 49.03% ( 2.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.88% ( -2.07) | 71.11% ( 2.06) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.99% ( -1.72) | 14.01% ( 1.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.46% ( -3.47) | 41.54% ( 3.47) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.66% ( 1.79) | 47.34% ( -1.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.25% ( 1.31) | 82.74% ( -1.31) |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City | Draw | Norwich City |
1-0 @ 13.03% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 12.81% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.88) 3-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.31) 4-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.73) 4-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.37) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.42) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.23) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.41% Total : 66.04% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.75) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.59) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.23) Other @ 0.64% Total : 20.6% | 0-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.67) 1-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.45) 0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.15) Other @ 1.99% Total : 13.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
2 | Chelsea | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 35 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Bournemouth | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
6 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
7 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
9 | Fulham | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Everton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 14 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 12 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
20 | Southampton | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 6 |
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