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Premier League | Gameweek 37
May 15, 2022 at 2pm UK
Vicarage Road
Leicester logo

Watford
1 - 5
Leicester

Pedro (6')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Maddison (18'), Vardy (22', 70'), Barnes (46', 86')
Tielemans (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Watford and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Watford 0-1 Leicester City

Fans and neutrals alike should not expect sparks to fly at Vicarage Road, with already-relegated Watford dealing with a raft of absentees and Leicester likely to rotate their resources a tad too. The Hornets held out well against Everton, but Leicester have plenty of well-rested attacking stars ready to make an impact and will endeavour to scrape a vital win to keep a top-half spot in their own control. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 49.72%. A win for Watford had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.7%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawLeicester City
25.61% (-0.168 -0.17) 24.66% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 49.72% (0.182 0.18)
Both teams to score 53.46% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.16% (-0.052 -0.05)48.83% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.06% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)70.93% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.55% (-0.166 -0.17)33.45% (0.16200000000001 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.92% (-0.18 -0.18)70.08% (0.175 0.17)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.34% (0.052999999999997 0.05)19.66% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.35% (0.088000000000001 0.09)51.64% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Watford 25.61%
    Leicester City 49.72%
    Draw 24.66%
WatfordDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 7.2% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.42% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-0 @ 3.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.34% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.44% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 25.61%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.58% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.66%
0-1 @ 10.69% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.53% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.7% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 5.17% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.72% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.1% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.92% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 49.72%

How you voted: Watford vs Leicester

Watford
14.5%
Draw
16.4%
Leicester City
69.1%
110
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Nov 28, 2021 2pm
Leicester
4-2
Watford
Maddison (16'), Vardy (34', 42'), Lookman (68')
King (30' pen.), Dennis (61')
Mar 3, 2019 12pm
Watford
2-1
Leicester
Deeney (5'), Gray (92')
Mariappa (13'), Capoue (60'), Doucoure (61'), Deeney (62'), Gray (93')
Vardy (75')
Pereira (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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