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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2024 at 1pm UK
The Den
West Brom logo

Millwall
1 - 1
West Brom

Watmore (21')
Bryan (5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Swift (67' pen.)
Bartley (17'), Kipre (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Millwall and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Millwall
Sunday, March 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Bristol City
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-2 West Bromwich Albion

Of all the teams competing for a playoff spot, it is West Brom that have clicked into gear at the right time. Although Millwall have shown their own improvements, we are backing the Baggies to battle their way to a hard-fought victory at The Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 46.87%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 25.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.2%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Millwall win it was 1-0 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawWest Bromwich Albion
25.97% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 27.15% (0.038 0.04) 46.87% (-0.07 -0.07)
Both teams to score 46.46% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.87% (-0.122 -0.12)58.12% (0.118 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.21% (-0.096 -0.1)78.78% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.8% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)38.19% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.04% (-0.041 -0.04)74.95% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.18% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)24.82% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.59% (-0.121 -0.12)59.4% (0.117 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 25.97%
    West Bromwich Albion 46.87%
    Draw 27.14%
MillwallDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 9.12% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.12% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.96% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 25.97%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.48% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.14%
0-1 @ 13.2% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.2% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 8.86% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.12% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 46.87%

How you voted: Millwall vs West Brom

Millwall
20.5%
Draw
31.8%
West Bromwich Albion
47.7%
44
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Millwall
2-1
West Brom
Styles (38'), Burey (90')
Swift (20')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Millwall
2-0
West Brom
Bennett (67'), Afobe (76')
Bennett (70')

Furlong (88')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 6
West Brom
1-1
Millwall
Bartley (49')
Kipre (20')
Ballard (55')
Mitchell (43'), Wallace (60'), Smith (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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