Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.26%. A win for Watford had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Watford |
48.26% ( -1.45) | 23.85% ( 0.43) | 27.89% ( 1.03) |
Both teams to score 58.12% ( -0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.39% ( -1.18) | 43.6% ( 1.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34% ( -1.17) | 65.99% ( 1.17) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.79% ( -1.01) | 18.21% ( 1.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.77% ( -1.75) | 49.22% ( 1.74) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.06% ( 0.13) | 28.94% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.18% ( 0.17) | 64.82% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Watford |
2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.55% Total : 48.26% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.36) 0-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.45% Total : 27.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
> Championship Full Table |