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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 4, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Watford logo

Middlesbrough
3 - 1
Watford

Latte Lath (28'), Bangura (78'), Jones (84')
Azaz (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hoedt (73')
Pollock (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-4 Middlesbrough
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-0 Sunderland
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Watford

While this has the potential to be a low-key affair, both managers will want to end on a high ahead of next season. Watford beat one North East side last weekend, but we feel a share of the spoils is most likely here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.26%. A win for Watford had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawWatford
48.26% (-1.454 -1.45) 23.85% (0.425 0.43) 27.89% (1.026 1.03)
Both teams to score 58.12% (-0.605 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.39% (-1.183 -1.18)43.6% (1.18 1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34% (-1.168 -1.17)65.99% (1.166 1.17)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.79% (-1.011 -1.01)18.21% (1.007 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.77% (-1.746 -1.75)49.22% (1.742 1.74)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.06% (0.134 0.13)28.94% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.18% (0.168 0.17)64.82% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 48.26%
    Watford 27.89%
    Draw 23.84%
MiddlesbroughDrawWatford
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-0 @ 8.98% (0.171 0.17)
2-0 @ 7.64% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.38% (-0.234 -0.23)
3-0 @ 4.34% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.132 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.18 -0.18)
4-0 @ 1.85% (-0.152 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 48.26%
1-1 @ 11.12% (0.25 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.27% (0.268 0.27)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 6.9% (0.183 0.18)
0-1 @ 6.53% (0.356 0.36)
0-2 @ 4.05% (0.235 0.24)
1-3 @ 2.85% (0.086 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.67% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 27.89%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Watford
2-3
Middlesbrough
Issouf Bayo (19'), Hoedt (52')
Porteous (40'), Sierralta (55')
McGree (5', 12'), Coburn (63')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Middlesbrough
2-0
Watford
Akpom (36'), Forss (45+3')
Aug 30, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 7
Watford
2-1
Middlesbrough
Sarr (24'), Issouf Bayo (90+3')
Sierralta (61'), Choudhury (90+2')
Muniz (4')
Crooks (38'), Jones (82'), McNair (87'), McGree (90+2')
Apr 5, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 40
Middlesbrough
1-1
Watford
Bolasie (78')
Sarr (32')
Chalobah (25')
Sep 11, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Lions
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Bears
6pm
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6pm
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Bills
6pm
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Colts
6pm
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Falcons
6pm
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6pm
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6pm
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9.05pm
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9.25pm
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9.25pm
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Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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