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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Ipswich
1 - 1
Middlesbrough

Luongo (30')
Luongo (49'), Travis (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Latte Lath (20')
Howson (57'), Ayling (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 0-0 Watford
Wednesday, April 10 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 2-2 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, April 10 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Ipswich Town 2-1 Middlesbrough

With Middlesbrough having put together a prolonged unbeaten run, they will fancy their chances of getting the better of a team under increasing pressure. However, we are backing the home side to get back on track in what could turn into a scrappy contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 55.35%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 24.06% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.8%) and 3-1 (6.73%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawMiddlesbrough
55.35% (-0.292 -0.29) 20.59% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 24.06% (0.239 0.24)
Both teams to score 66.1% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.54% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)31.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.07% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)52.93% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.45% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)11.55% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.51% (-0.179 -0.18)36.48% (0.182 0.18)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.73% (0.17399999999999 0.17)25.26% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.98% (0.238 0.24)60.02% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 55.35%
    Middlesbrough 24.06%
    Draw 20.59%
Ipswich TownDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.8% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.73% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.3% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.89% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.63% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.64% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.5% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.57% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.14% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.08% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 55.35%
1-1 @ 8.67% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.43% (0.023 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 2.12% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 20.59%
1-2 @ 5.96% (0.041 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.02% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.76% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.73% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.02 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 24.06%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Middlesbrough

Ipswich Town
80.8%
Draw
11.5%
Middlesbrough
7.7%
52
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 20
Middlesbrough
0-2
Ipswich

Crooks (51')
Chaplin (36'), Hutchinson (67')
Woolfenden (63'), Morsy (90+5'), Ball (90')
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 25
Middlesbrough
2-0
Ipswich
Hugill (37' pen.), Tavernier (72')
Tavernier (65')

Chalobah (19'), Downes (40')
Oct 2, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Ipswich
0-2
Middlesbrough
Besic (12'), Downing (16')
May 6, 2018 12.30pm
Ipswich
2-2
Middlesbrough
Sears (8'), Waghorn (83' pen.)
Skuse (12'), Nydam (45'), Sears (45')
Downing (71'), Bamford (90')
Gibson (90')
Dec 9, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley27141123192253
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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