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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Sheffield Wednesday logo

Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Sheff Weds

Ihiekwe (41' og.), Jones (73')
Greenwood (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vaulks (33'), Beadle (40'), Famewo (79'), Iorfa (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 1-1 Middlesbrough
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Swansea
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Sheffield Wednesday

Despite the difference in league positions, this has the makings of being a hard-fought contest. We fancy Wednesday to be competitive throughout, perhaps even leading at one stage, but Boro are playing with the kind of confidence that suggests that they could prevail through a late goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 60.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 17.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 0-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawSheffield Wednesday
60.95% (0.139 0.14) 21.68% (-0.044 -0.04) 17.37% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 51.22% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.98% (0.029999999999994 0.03)46.02% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.67% (0.028000000000002 0.03)68.32% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.38% (0.053000000000011 0.05)14.62% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.27% (0.103 0.1)42.72% (-0.105 -0.1)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.98% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)40.01% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.33% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)76.66% (0.088000000000008 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 60.94%
    Sheffield Wednesday 17.37%
    Draw 21.68%
MiddlesbroughDrawSheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 11.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.81% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 6.93% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.35% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.33% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.05% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.17% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 60.94%
1-1 @ 10.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 21.68%
0-1 @ 5.36% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.72% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.45% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 17.37%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Sheff Weds

Middlesbrough
82.8%
Draw
6.9%
Sheffield Wednesday
10.3%
29
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 7
Sheff Weds
1-1
Middlesbrough
Musaba (38')
Windass (31'), Byers (86')
Lenihan (53')
Jones (48')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 44
Middlesbrough
3-1
Sheff Weds
Bolasie (20'), Coburn (73'), Watmore (81')
McNair (27')
Windass (39' pen.)
Dec 29, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 22
Sheff Weds
2-1
Middlesbrough
Paterson (30'), Shaw (40')
Bannan (45+3'), Palmer (88')
Watmore (49')
Saville (42'), Morsy (45+3')
Jul 22, 2020 7.30pm
Sep 28, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 9
Middlesbrough
1-4
Sheff Weds
McNair (19')
Clayton (5' og.), Iorfa (6'), Reach (23'), Fletcher (34')
Bannan (72'), Nuhiu (76'), Luongo (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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