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Championship | Gameweek 29
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Birmingham
0 - 1
Middlesbrough

FT(HT: 0-1)
McGree (17')
Howson (23'), Latte Lath (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Birmingham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-0 Middlesbrough

Birmingham are in desperate need of three points, and we reckon that a fired-up atmosphere at St Andrew's could help the hosts to victory. Middlesbrough have been impressive in recent matches, but another match on the road in the space of four days might prove too much for Carrick's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawMiddlesbrough
33.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.59% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 41.93% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 58.6% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.69% (0.055 0.05)44.31% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.31% (0.053999999999995 0.05)66.69% (-0.053999999999988 -0.05)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37% (0.022999999999996 0.02)25.63% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.47% (0.033999999999999 0.03)60.53% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8% (0.033000000000001 0.03)21.2% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.91% (0.048999999999999 0.05)54.09% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 33.48%
    Middlesbrough 41.93%
    Draw 24.59%
Birmingham CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 7.81%
1-0 @ 7.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.04% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.54% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 33.48%
1-1 @ 11.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.06% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.59%
1-2 @ 8.9% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 8.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.78% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 41.93%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Middlesbrough

Birmingham City
39.3%
Draw
16.2%
Middlesbrough
44.4%
117
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Middlesbrough
1-0
Birmingham
Rogers (88')
Crooks (26'), Engel (30'), Hackney (58')

Bielik (40'), Ruddy (45+4'), Longelo (71')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Birmingham
1-3
Middlesbrough
Chong (74')
Crooks (57', 59'), Akpom (85')
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Birmingham
0-2
Middlesbrough

Pedersen (40'), Hernandez (80')
Pedersen (86')
Connolly (23'), Balogun (62')
Crooks (90')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Middlesbrough
0-2
Birmingham
Roberts (53'), Hogan (56')
Sanderson (19'), Gardner (45+1'), McGree (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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