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Championship | Gameweek 29
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Birmingham
0 - 1
Middlesbrough

FT(HT: 0-1)
McGree (17')
Howson (23'), Latte Lath (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Birmingham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-0 Middlesbrough

Birmingham are in desperate need of three points, and we reckon that a fired-up atmosphere at St Andrew's could help the hosts to victory. Middlesbrough have been impressive in recent matches, but another match on the road in the space of four days might prove too much for Carrick's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawMiddlesbrough
33.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.59% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 41.93% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 58.6% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.69% (0.055 0.05)44.31% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.31% (0.053999999999995 0.05)66.69% (-0.053999999999988 -0.05)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37% (0.022999999999996 0.02)25.63% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.47% (0.033999999999999 0.03)60.53% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8% (0.033000000000001 0.03)21.2% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.91% (0.048999999999999 0.05)54.09% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 33.48%
    Middlesbrough 41.93%
    Draw 24.59%
Birmingham CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 7.81%
1-0 @ 7.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.04% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.54% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 33.48%
1-1 @ 11.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.06% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.59%
1-2 @ 8.9% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 8.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.78% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 41.93%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Middlesbrough

Birmingham City
39.3%
Draw
16.2%
Middlesbrough
44.4%
117
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Middlesbrough
1-0
Birmingham
Rogers (88')
Crooks (26'), Engel (30'), Hackney (58')

Bielik (40'), Ruddy (45+4'), Longelo (71')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Birmingham
1-3
Middlesbrough
Chong (74')
Crooks (57', 59'), Akpom (85')
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Birmingham
0-2
Middlesbrough

Pedersen (40'), Hernandez (80')
Pedersen (86')
Connolly (23'), Balogun (62')
Crooks (90')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Middlesbrough
0-2
Birmingham
Roberts (53'), Hogan (56')
Sanderson (19'), Gardner (45+1'), McGree (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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