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Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Blackburn logo

Birmingham
1 - 0
Blackburn

Dozzell (77')
Laird (64'), Dembele (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Garrett (49'), Hyam (52'), Tronstad (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Blackburn Rovers

Birmingham will be happy to be back at St Andrew's following three-straight losses on the road, and Blues should be able to end their barren spell in front of the net. Eustace will be desperate to get one over his former club on Tuesday night, but we believe that Blackburn will have to settle for a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
41.62% (-0.239 -0.24) 24.15% (0.073 0.07) 34.22% (0.168 0.17)
Both teams to score 60.39% (-0.219 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.93% (-0.307 -0.31)42.06% (0.309 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.53% (-0.308 -0.31)64.47% (0.31 0.31)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.61% (-0.238 -0.24)20.39% (0.24 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.18% (-0.38 -0.38)52.81% (0.382 0.38)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.86% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)24.14% (0.049000000000003 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.55% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)58.45% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 41.62%
    Blackburn Rovers 34.22%
    Draw 24.15%
Birmingham CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.83% (0.05 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.22% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.69% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.3% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 41.62%
1-1 @ 11.12% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.29% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.068 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.15%
1-2 @ 7.91% (0.028 0.03)
0-1 @ 7% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.97% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.36% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 34.22%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Blackburn

Birmingham City
41.3%
Draw
32.6%
Blackburn Rovers
26.1%
92
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Blackburn
4-2
Birmingham
Szmodics (47', 52'), Hill (59'), Leonard (90+2')
Tronstad (31'), Travis (33'), Wharton (80'), Leonard (87')
Dembele (63', 78')
Aiwu (28'), Bielik (35')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Fourth Round Replays
Birmingham
0-1
Blackburn
Trusty (100' og.)
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Blackburn
2-1
Birmingham
Gallagher (17'), Wharton (42')
Hogan (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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