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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Swansea logo

Birmingham
2 - 2
Swansea

Dembele (38'), James (90+5')
Sunjic (29'), Stansfield (45+2'), Hogan (56'), Buchanan (83'), James (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Darling (36'), Lowe (58')
Darling (70'), Allen (76'), Yates (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Birmingham City 2-1 Swansea City

Birmingham felt lost with Rooney at the helm, but the appointment of Mowbray ticks all the right boxes, and he will be desperate to begin with a win on Saturday. Swansea are also hoping for a new manager bounce, but we believe that a fired-up St Andrew's crowd will witness a match to remember in the Second City. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawSwansea City
36.06% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 26.09% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 37.85% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.92% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.43% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)50.56% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.52% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)72.48% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.92% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)27.08% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.54% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)62.45% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.94% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)26.06% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.9% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)61.1% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 36.06%
    Swansea City 37.85%
    Draw 26.08%
Birmingham CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 9.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.62%
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 36.06%
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 7.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 9.49% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.34% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 6.38% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 37.85%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Swansea

Birmingham City
68.8%
Draw
3.1%
Swansea City
28.1%
32
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Swansea
1-1
Birmingham
Yates (76')
Paterson (2')
Dembele (45')
T (27'), Sunjic (87'), Miyoshi (90+4'), Bielik (90+5')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Swansea
3-4
Birmingham
Piroe (23', 58'), Cullen (29')
Hogan (14' pen.), Chong (55'), Jutkiewicz (90'), Trusty (90+7')
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Birmingham
2-2
Swansea
Hogan (12'), Deeney (89')
Ntcham (30'), Grimes (45+2')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Birmingham
2-1
Swansea
Deeney (47'), McGree (82')
Gardner (53'), McGree (90+3')
Obafemi (77')
Bennett (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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