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FA Cup
Swansea logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 6, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Morecambe

Swansea
2 - 0
Morecambe

Patino (47'), Yates (87')
Wood (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Major (85'), Edwards (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Swansea City and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions
Last Game: Swansea 1-0 West Brom
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

Morecambe

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Morecambe 2-2 Harrogate
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swansea City 2-0 Morecambe

 With confidence low in the Morecambe ranks, Swansea will expect to take advantage. However, with changes likely in the home side's starting lineup, they may only score a goal in each half to secure the progress to the last 32. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Swansea City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Swansea City.

Result
Swansea CityDrawMorecambe
58.68% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14) 21.51% (0.074999999999999 0.07) 19.8% (0.061 0.06)
Both teams to score 56.29% (-0.157 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.5% (-0.253 -0.25)41.49% (0.254 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.11% (-0.256 -0.26)63.89% (0.258 0.26)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.16% (-0.124 -0.12)13.84% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.79% (-0.247 -0.25)41.21% (0.248 0.25)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.33% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)34.67% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.6% (-0.092000000000002 -0.09)71.39% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 58.68%
    Morecambe 19.8%
    Draw 21.51%
Swansea CityDrawMorecambe
2-1 @ 9.94%
1-0 @ 9.49% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 9.38% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.55% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.19% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.47% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.24% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.06% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.28% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.21% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 58.68%
1-1 @ 10.05% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.8% (0.055 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.51%
1-2 @ 5.32% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.08% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.69% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 19.8%

How you voted: Swansea vs Morecambe

Swansea City
80.6%
Draw
12.9%
Morecambe
6.5%
31
rhs 2.0
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6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
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12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
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19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256
> Premier League Full Table


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