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Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Harrogate Town

Morecambe
2 - 2
Harrogate

Slew (57'), Bedeau (90+2')
Brannan (0'), Slew (87'), Songo'o (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Muldoon (44'), Thomson (83')
Burrell (90+4'), Belshaw (90+3'), Burrell (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Morecambe and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Notts County 5-0 Morecambe
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

Harrogate Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Tranmere
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Morecambe 1-1 Harrogate Town

 With just one point separating Morecambe and Harrogate Town in the table, we anticipate an end-to-end affair at the Mazuma Mobile Stadium with both sides going all out in search of a morale-boosting result. Both teams are evenly matched on paper and we predict that they will settle for a point apiece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawHarrogate Town
41.55% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 25.73% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 32.72% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.46% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.42% (0.097000000000001 0.1)49.58% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.39% (0.089000000000002 0.09)71.6% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.34% (0.052999999999997 0.05)23.66% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.23% (0.074000000000005 0.07)57.76% (-0.07 -0.07)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.34% (0.052999999999997 0.05)28.66% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.53% (0.065999999999995 0.07)64.47% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 41.55%
    Harrogate Town 32.72%
    Draw 25.73%
MorecambeDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 9.77% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.04% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.23% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 41.55%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.78% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.73%
0-1 @ 8.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 32.72%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Harrogate
2-0
Morecambe
Armstrong (20' pen.), Thomson (66')
Sutton (47'), Falkingham (82'), Oxley (83')

Bedeau (20'), Rawson (20'), Major (45+4'), Love (90+1')
Rawson (64')
Oct 18, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Harrogate
2-1
Morecambe
O'Boyle (28'), Welch-Hayes (90+6')
Major (2')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 37
Harrogate
0-1
Morecambe

Jones (72')
Smith (1' og.)
Knight-Percival (39'), Stockton (45'), Gibson (89'), O'Sullivan (90+4')
Knight-Percival (75')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 17
Morecambe
1-0
Harrogate
Wildig (56')
Wildig (84'), Halstead (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster29157742321052
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2812883326744
9Grimsby Town29133134045-542
10Chesterfield28109943321139
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2881193637-135
17Gillingham2795132529-432
18BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
19Newport CountyNewport2786133546-1130
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2865172644-1823
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421
> League Two Full Table


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