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Championship header 2

League Two
Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Harrogate Town

Morecambe
2 - 2
Harrogate

Slew (57'), Bedeau (90+2')
Brannan (0'), Slew (87'), Songo'o (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Muldoon (44'), Thomson (83')
Burrell (90+4'), Belshaw (90+3'), Burrell (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Morecambe and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Notts County 5-0 Morecambe
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

Harrogate Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Tranmere
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Morecambe 1-1 Harrogate Town

 With just one point separating Morecambe and Harrogate Town in the table, we anticipate an end-to-end affair at the Mazuma Mobile Stadium with both sides going all out in search of a morale-boosting result. Both teams are evenly matched on paper and we predict that they will settle for a point apiece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawHarrogate Town
41.55% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 25.73% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 32.72% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.46% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.42% (0.097000000000001 0.1)49.58% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.39% (0.089000000000002 0.09)71.6% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.34% (0.052999999999997 0.05)23.66% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.23% (0.074000000000005 0.07)57.76% (-0.07 -0.07)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.34% (0.052999999999997 0.05)28.66% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.53% (0.065999999999995 0.07)64.47% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 41.55%
    Harrogate Town 32.72%
    Draw 25.73%
MorecambeDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 9.77% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.04% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.23% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 41.55%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.78% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.73%
0-1 @ 8.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 32.72%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Harrogate
2-0
Morecambe
Armstrong (20' pen.), Thomson (66')
Sutton (47'), Falkingham (82'), Oxley (83')

Bedeau (20'), Rawson (20'), Major (45+4'), Love (90+1')
Rawson (64')
Oct 18, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Harrogate
2-1
Morecambe
O'Boyle (28'), Welch-Hayes (90+6')
Major (2')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 37
Harrogate
0-1
Morecambe

Jones (72')
Smith (1' og.)
Knight-Percival (39'), Stockton (45'), Gibson (89'), O'Sullivan (90+4')
Knight-Percival (75')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 17
Morecambe
1-0
Harrogate
Wildig (56')
Wildig (84'), Halstead (89')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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