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Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Birmingham logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Birmingham

Akpom (23')
McNair (15'), Dijksteel (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bacuna (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 1-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-1 Birmingham
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Birmingham City

Middlesbrough have not started the season how they would have liked, but to their credit they have a decent home record and have notched decent home wins against Sunderland and Swansea. However, despite the possibility of a new manager bounce, after recent form we do not think they will have enough to win the game, particularly with Birmingham being on a decent run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 61.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 15.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.73%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawBirmingham City
61.36% (0.119 0.12) 23.19% (-0.081 -0.08) 15.45% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 42.89% (0.134 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.89% (0.226 0.23)55.11% (-0.228 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.64% (0.185 0.18)76.36% (-0.18600000000001 -0.19)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.39% (0.12400000000001 0.12)17.61% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.8% (0.21599999999999 0.22)48.2% (-0.217 -0.22)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.06% (0.085000000000001 0.09)47.94% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.81% (0.061999999999998 0.06)83.19% (-0.062999999999988 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 61.36%
    Birmingham City 15.45%
    Draw 23.19%
MiddlesbroughDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 14.66% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 12.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.37% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.42% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.2% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.35% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.11% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 61.36%
1-1 @ 10.78% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.44% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.44% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 23.19%
0-1 @ 6.21% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-2 @ 3.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 2.28% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 15.45%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Birmingham

Middlesbrough
44.4%
Draw
35.6%
Birmingham City
20.0%
45
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Jan 16, 2021 12.30pm
Dec 19, 2020 3pm
Birmingham
1-4
Middlesbrough
Colin (15')
Assombalonga (27'), Saville (31'), Etheridge (56' og.), Wing (82')
(13')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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