Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica4 - 1Santa Clara
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Moreirense 1-1 Benfica
Friday, August 30 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, August 30 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 2-1 AVS
Saturday, August 31 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, August 31 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Benfica 2-1 Santa Clara
While Santa Clara have already shown their goalscoring threat since returning to the big time, facing Benfica on the road is a different challenge despite the Eagles' managerial change. Thus, we are backing Lage for a marginal win on his return to the Stadium of Light. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 68.06%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 12.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Santa Clara |
68.06% ( 0.6) | 19.31% ( -0.17) | 12.63% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 47.27% ( -0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
