Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for AVS had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest AVS win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | AVS |
44.26% ( -0.01) | 26.37% ( 0) | 29.36% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 50.94% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.54% ( -0.01) | 53.46% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.02% ( -0.01) | 74.98% ( 0) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.97% ( -0.01) | 24.03% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.71% ( -0.01) | 58.29% ( 0.01) |
AVS Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.05% ( -0) | 32.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.46% ( -0) | 69.53% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | AVS |
1-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.05% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.83% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 44.26% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.92% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 8.79% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |