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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
48.75% ( -0) | 24.42% ( -0.01) | 26.83% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 55.35% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.13% ( 0.06) | 46.86% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.88% ( 0.06) | 69.12% ( -0.06) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.71% ( 0.02) | 19.28% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.97% ( 0.04) | 51.03% ( -0.04) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.57% ( 0.05) | 31.42% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.2% ( 0.05) | 67.8% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
1-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.5% 2-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.5% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.85% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 48.75% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.41% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.06% 1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 26.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 62 | 18 | 44 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 40 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 20 |
14 | Heracles | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 18 |
15 | Groningen | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 17 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 8 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |