Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 38.51%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.