MX23RW : Friday, October 11 07:36:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 3
Sep 18, 2024 at 7pm UK
Amsterdam ArenA
Fortuna Sittard

Ajax
5 - 0
Sittard

Taylor (9'), Traore (24'), Baas (58'), Rensch (71'), Akpom (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Peterson (35')
Guth (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 3-0 Jagiellonia
Thursday, August 29 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: NAC Breda 1-0 Sittard
Saturday, September 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 2-1 Fortuna Sittard

It is too early to tell whether Ajax have left the struggles of last season in the past, but they have produced largely positive results this campaign, and they should come into Wednesday's clash as favourites. However, given the hosts have already played eight competitive games this season, Fortuna could look to take advantage of any early sluggishness from the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 63.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 16.11%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawFortuna Sittard
63.59% (0.228 0.23) 20.3% (0.031000000000002 0.03) 16.11% (-0.257 -0.26)
Both teams to score 53.11% (-0.692 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.84% (-0.627 -0.63)42.16% (0.627 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.44% (-0.632 -0.63)64.56% (0.63200000000001 0.63)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.4% (-0.127 -0.13)12.6% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.3% (-0.264 -0.26)38.7% (0.265 0.27)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.77% (-0.702 -0.7)39.23% (0.702 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.06% (-0.665 -0.66)75.94% (0.666 0.67)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 63.58%
    Fortuna Sittard 16.11%
    Draw 20.3%
AjaxDrawFortuna Sittard
2-0 @ 10.6% (0.19 0.19)
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.32% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.85% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.79% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.55% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.57% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.47% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 63.58%
1-1 @ 9.58% (0.041 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.94% (0.137 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.3%
0-1 @ 4.63% (0.042 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.48% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.16% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2%
Total : 16.11%

How you voted: Ajax vs Sittard

Ajax
87.3%
Draw
10.3%
Fortuna Sittard
2.4%
126
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 25
Ajax
2-2
Sittard
Taylor (8'), Brobbey (88')
Kaplan (90+6')
Duarte (49'), Sierhuis (66')
Sep 3, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 4
Sittard
0-0
Ajax
Buijs (37+37'), Dijks (65'), Rosier (90'), Oratmangoen (90+2')
Avila (36'), Steijn (37'), Brobbey (45+6')
Apr 9, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 28
Ajax
4-0
Sittard
Berghuis (6', 27'), Bergwijn (54'), Taylor (86')
Aug 6, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 1
Sittard
2-3
Ajax
Gladon (6'), Yilmaz (87')
Seuntjens (27'), Ferati (82'), Gladon (88')
Taylor (48'), Rensch (51'), Brobbey (62')
Dec 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 17
Ajax
5-0
Sittard
Blind (14'), Antony (22'), Rensch (82'), Haller (90' pen., 90+2')

van Osch (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
49ers
36-24
Seahawks
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV88002752224
2FC UtrechtUtrecht7610148619
3AZ AlkmaarAZ85121751216
4FC Twente8422147714
5Ajax6411134913
6Feyenoord7340147713
7Go Ahead Eagles84131010013
8Willem II8323119211
9Sparta RotterdamSparta824299010
10Fortuna SittardSittard8314813-510
11Groningen8233111109
12Heracles8233713-69
13NAC BredaNAC Breda8305614-89
14PEC Zwolle8224811-38
15Heerenveen82241017-78
16NECNijmegen821579-27
17Almere CityAlmere City8026219-172
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk8008522-170


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!