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FA Cup
Scunthorpe United
FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying Replays
Sep 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Sands Venue Stadium

Scunthorpe
5 - 0
Newcastle Town

Roberts (25', 71'), Barrows (32', 68'), Beestin (47')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying Replays clash between Scunthorpe United and Newcastle Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Scunthorpe United

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Newcastle Town 1-1 Scunthorpe
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup

Newcastle Town

All competitions
Last Game: Newcastle Town 1-1 Scunthorpe
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 76.44%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Newcastle Town had a probability of 8.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.43%) and 1-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.13%), while for a Newcastle Town win it was 0-1 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.

Result
Scunthorpe UnitedDrawNewcastle Town
76.44% (-1.572 -1.57) 15.01% (0.757 0.76) 8.54% (0.814 0.81)
Both teams to score 47.18% (1.093 1.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.75% (-0.695 -0.7)37.25% (0.694 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.54% (-0.753 -0.75)59.46% (0.752 0.75)
Scunthorpe United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.92% (-0.499 -0.5)8.08% (0.497 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.59% (-1.267 -1.27)28.41% (1.265 1.27)
Newcastle Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.33% (1.46 1.46)48.67% (-1.46 -1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.28% (1.029 1.03)83.72% (-1.029 -1.03)
Score Analysis
    Scunthorpe United 76.43%
    Newcastle Town 8.54%
    Draw 15.01%
Scunthorpe UnitedDrawNewcastle Town
2-0 @ 12.44% (-0.2 -0.2)
3-0 @ 10.43% (-0.44 -0.44)
1-0 @ 9.89% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.23 0.23)
3-1 @ 7.52% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 6.56% (-0.446 -0.45)
4-1 @ 4.73% (-0.114 -0.11)
5-0 @ 3.3% (-0.314 -0.31)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.114 0.11)
5-1 @ 2.38% (-0.119 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.031 0.03)
6-0 @ 1.39% (-0.169 -0.17)
6-1 @ 1% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 76.43%
1-1 @ 7.13% (0.354 0.35)
0-0 @ 3.93% (0.131 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.23% (0.212 0.21)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 15.01%
0-1 @ 2.83% (0.207 0.21)
1-2 @ 2.57% (0.227 0.23)
0-2 @ 1.02% (0.114 0.11)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 8.54%

Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Second Round Qualifying
Newcastle Town
1-1
Scunthorpe
Avery (45')
Nicholson (77')
rhs 2.0
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