FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying Replays
Sep 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
New Manor Ground
Ilkeston0 - 1Hereford
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rooney (40')
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying Replays clash between Ilkeston and Hereford United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hereford 1-1 Ilkeston
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Goals
for
for
14
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 54.1%. A win for Ilkeston had a probability of 23.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Ilkeston win was 2-1 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ilkeston | Draw | Hereford United |
23.76% ( 0.41) | 22.14% ( -0.01) | 54.1% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 59.94% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
