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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 37.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.36%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
37.12% ( 0.43) | 25.09% ( 0.1) | 37.79% ( -0.52) |
Both teams to score 57.44% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.92% ( -0.44) | 46.08% ( 0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.62% ( -0.42) | 68.38% ( 0.42) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.61% ( 0.03) | 24.39% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.19% ( 0.04) | 58.81% ( -0.04) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.97% ( -0.47) | 24.03% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.7% ( -0.68) | 58.3% ( 0.68) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.92% Total : 37.12% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.09% | 1-2 @ 8.41% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.98% Total : 37.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 20 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 65 | 20 | 45 | 49 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 41 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 23 |
14 | Groningen | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 21 |
15 | Heracles | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 20 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 17 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 44 | -22 | 11 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |